Economy
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Quantifying the continuing UK public spending squeeze
In her October budget the Chancellor raised total government spending by 1.8% of GDP compared to the plans of her predecessors, which means that total public spending as a ratio to GDP stays pretty flat over the 5 year forecast period. (Anyone who calls this the share of government spending in GDP is either being sloppy or deliberately misleading.…
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Market Talk – February 10, 2025
ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: • NIKKEI 225 increased 14.15 points or 0.04% to 38,801.17 • Shanghai increased 18.50 points or 0.56% to 3,322.17 • Hang Seng increased 388.44 points or 1.84% to 21,521.98 • ASX 200 decreased 28.60 points or -0.34% to 8,482.80 • SENSEX decreased 548.39 points or -0.70% to 77,311.80 •…
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The Government Can | Armstrong Economics
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Why Did Democrats Become Pro-Illegal Immigration?
The Democrats completely flipped the position against illegal immigration mainly because they have to be the opposite of whatever Trump did, regardless of the issue. They hated Trump because he was not a politician, and how dare anyone think they could be elected and upset their cozy thiefdom. If Trump wants to build a wall, they must tear it…
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mainly macro: Mediamacro melodrama
The UK macroeconomy was one of the big stories of the previous two weeks, so you might think this blog post should have covered it earlier. However my guess at the time was that media coverage was a bit like a nervous flyer who, when the plane hits a bit of normal turbulence, decides it’s is going to crash…
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Market Talk – January 13, 2025
ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a negative day today: • NIKKEI 225 closed • Shanghai decreased 7.77 points or -0.25% to 3,160.76 • Hang Seng decreased 190.15 points or -1.00% to 18,874.14 • ASX 200 decreased 102.20 points or -1.23% to 8,191.90 • SENSEX decreased 1,048.90 points or -1.36% to 76,330.01 • Nifty50 decreased 345.55 points or -1.47%…
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Market Talk – January 6, 2024
ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: • NIKKEI 225 decreased 587.49 points or -1.47% to 39,307.05 • Shanghai decreased 4.51 points or -0.14% to 3,206.92 • Hang Seng decreased 71.98 points or -0.36% to 19,688.29 • ASX 200 increased 6.90 points or 0.08% to 8,257.40 • SENSEX decreased 1,222.45 points or -1.54% to 78,000.66 •…
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Can Britain Be Saved Form Extinction?
QUESTION: Dear Martin, Merry Christmas to you, your family, and the Armstrong Economic team. All of you have worked tirelessly to help humanity. A question about the UK: you have discussed saving the USA and that your proposal would always work in the EU. What about the UK? You say Trump is married to old theories. What about Nigel Farage?…
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Biden’s Christmas List | Armstrong Economics
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mainly macro: The politics of stupid
I had a conversation on social media recently that went a bit like this (and I’m paraphrasing): ‘I want massive reductions in immigration’ ‘But how? Stopping firms or the public sector’s hiring Labour, or collapsing a number of universities? How much poorer do you think people will be prepared to be?’ ‘Figure it out or Reform will’ ‘You want…
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